OO 4795 · DRO → DEN

departs 11:23 AM MT · arrives 12:42 PM MT

Forecast issued Thu 6:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↓ 11am departures from DRO are usually not late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

Weather at each end

DRO (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precipnone

DEN (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4795 · DRO → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?