Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4802
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
OO 4802 · DEN → MKE
departs 1:30 PM MT · arrives 5:04 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 40h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 39%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 18%
Sat 10/3 19%
Sun 10/4 19%
Mon 10/5 16%
Tue 10/6 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at MKE more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±7 pts
−11 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MKE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −11 pts in 24h
−11 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at MKE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MKE?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 0.9 mi, 1.3 in of rain forecast at MKE that day
↑
1pm departures from DEN are often late
↑
DEN is busy at that time
↓
MKE usually runs smoothly
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.16 in
MKE (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 0.9 mi Precip 1.27 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.