Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4826
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
OO 4826 · ALO → ORD
departs 5:06 AM CT · arrives 6:30 AM CT
Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 31h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 19%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 8%
Sat 10/3 9%
Sun 10/4 10%
Mon 10/5 10%
Tue 10/6 9%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
15%
chance · ±3 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
15%
Leave 15+ late
14%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Leave ALO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.1 in of rain forecast at ALO that day
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.5 in of rain forecast at ORD that day
↑
This flight has been late 27% of the time recently
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
5am departures from ALO are usually not late
Weather at each end
ALO (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.05 in
ORD (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.48 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.