OO 4887 · DFW → ASE

departs 10:54 AM CT · arrives 12:04 PM MT

Forecast issued Thu 2:00 AM ET · 10h before departure

Arrive at ASE more than 15 minutes late?

39% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ASE?

On time or early
56%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
14%
Cancelled
8%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,233 ft, 1.7 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↑ 10am departures from DFW are often late

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ASE

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling1,233 ft Visibility5 mi Precip1.66 in

ASE (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4887 · DFW → ASE

Odds over time

How late will it get to ASE?