Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4905 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow

OO 4905 · LAX → ELP

departs 6:30 PM PT · arrives 9:34 PM MT

Forecast issued Wed 4:00 PM ET · 30h before departure

Arrive at ELP more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±3 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ELP?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 6pm departures from LAX are often late

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↓ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 1 mi forecast at LAX that day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ELP

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility1 mi Precipnone

ELP (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4905 · LAX → ELP

Odds over time

How late will it get to ELP?