OO 4906 · ORD → TVC

departs 7:35 PM CT · arrives 9:48 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 11:00 AM ET · 10h before departure

Arrive at TVC more than 15 minutes late?

75% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to TVC?

On time or early
22%
15–30 min late
24%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
31%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
9%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.0 in of rain forecast at ORD that day

↑ 7pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility2 mi Precip1.01 in

TVC (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.25 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4906 · ORD → TVC

Odds over time

How late will it get to TVC?