Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4908
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
OO 4908 · LAX → SMF
departs 9:44 PM PT · arrives 11:20 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 8:00 PM ET · 29h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 39%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 15%
Sat 10/3 12%
Sun 10/4 19%
Mon 10/5 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at SMF more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±3 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SMF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +14 pts in 24h
+14 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at SMF more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SMF?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
9pm departures from LAX are often late
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SMF
↓
This flight has been late 21% of the time recently
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip none
SMF (destination)
Gusts 5 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.