OO 4909 · ORD → MKE

departs 7:04 PM CT · arrives 7:54 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 1:00 AM ET · 19h before departure

Arrive at MKE more than 15 minutes late?

64% chance · ±2 pts +14 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MKE?

On time or early
35%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
26%
1–2 hours late
20%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft, 0.9 in of rain forecast at ORD that day

↑ 7pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ MKE usually runs smoothly

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.86 in

MKE (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility2 mi Precip1.45 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4909 · ORD → MKE

Odds over time

How late will it get to MKE?