OO 4925 · ORD → FWA

departs 8:04 AM CT · arrives 10:11 AM ET

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 11h before departure

Arrive at FWA more than 15 minutes late?

51% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to FWA?

On time or early
48%
15–30 min late
37%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.0 in of rain forecast at ORD that day

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ 8am departures from ORD are often late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into FWA at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.88 in

FWA (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.15 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4925 · ORD → FWA

Odds over time

How late will it get to FWA?