Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4944
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
OO 4944 · BUR → PHX
departs 6:38 PM PT · arrives 8:19 PM MT
Forecast issued Wed 1:00 PM ET · 33h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 30%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 25%
Sat 10/3 18%
Sun 10/4 24%
Mon 10/5 26%
Tue 10/6 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±1 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
33%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave BUR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Arrive at PHX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PHX?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
BUR is prone to delays
↑
PHX is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
BUR (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
PHX (destination)
Gusts 5 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.