OO 4953 · DFW → SWO

departs 1:51 PM CT · arrives 3:08 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 7h after departure

Arrive at SWO more than 15 minutes late?

73% chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to SWO?

On time or early
25%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
24%
Over 2 hours late
16%
Cancelled
6%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Visibility down to 1 mi, 6.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day

↑ 1pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2.5 mi, 0.8 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at SWO that day

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ SWO usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility1 mi Precip4.07 in

SWO (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.47 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4953 · DFW → SWO

Odds over time

How late will it get to SWO?