Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4956
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
OO 4956 · COS → DFW
departs 5:15 PM MT · arrives 8:19 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 3h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/1
Today 56%
Sun 10/4 26%
Mon 10/5 22%
Fri 10/9 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
50%
chance · ±0 pts
−19 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
50%
Leave 15+ late
61%
Arrive 1h+ late
31%
Cancelled
11%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 48% · changed −19 pts in 24h
−19 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Leave COS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 61% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
61%
Yes 61%
No 39%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed −21 pts in 24h
−21 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed −11 pts in 24h
−11 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
44%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
15%
Cancelled
11%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 4.2 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day
↑
Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↓
Gusts to 25 kt forecast at COS that day
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
COS (origin)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
DFW (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 4.07 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.