OO 4976 · DFW → LNK

departs 12:21 PM CT · arrives 2:14 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 2:00 AM ET · 11h before departure

Arrive at LNK more than 15 minutes late?

72% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LNK?

On time or early
26%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
16%
Cancelled
7%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,233 ft, 1.7 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ 12pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ Gusts to 25 kt, cloud base down to 700 ft, 0.8 in of rain forecast at LNK that day

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling1,233 ft Visibility5 mi Precip1.66 in

LNK (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.84 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4976 · DFW → LNK

Odds over time

How late will it get to LNK?