OO 5001 · ORD → ICT

departs 3:26 PM CT · arrives 5:26 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 8:00 PM ET · 20h before departure

Arrive at ICT more than 15 minutes late?

78% chance · ±10 pts +28 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ICT?

On time or early
20%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
22%
Over 2 hours late
14%
Cancelled
7%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.0 in of rain forecast at ORD that day

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 1.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at ICT that day

↑ 3pm departures from ORD are often late

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.96 in

ICT (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility3 mi Precip1.36 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5001 · ORD → ICT

Odds over time

How late will it get to ICT?