Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5002
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
OO 5002 · DFW → HOU
departs 2:21 PM CT · arrives 3:44 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 41h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 25%
Sat 10/3 19%
Sun 10/4 29%
Mon 10/5 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
71%
chance · ±2 pts
−8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
71%
Leave 15+ late
61%
Arrive 1h+ late
33%
Cancelled
22%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
71%
Yes 71%
No 29%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
61%
Yes 61%
No 39%
Arrive at HOU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
How late will it get to HOU?
On time or early
23%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
14%
Cancelled
22%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, 1.6 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at HOU
↑
2pm departures from DFW are often late
↓
Other factors
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 1.58 in
HOU (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 4,300 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.14 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.