OO 5003 · DRO → PHX

departs 11:25 AM MT · arrives 11:55 AM MT

Forecast issued Thu 9:00 AM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±0 pts +12 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to PHX?

On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ PHX is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 16% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX

↓ 11am departures from DRO are usually not late

Weather at each end

DRO (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precipnone

PHX (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5003 · DRO → PHX

Odds over time

How late will it get to PHX?