Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5003
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
OO 5003 · ORD → HSV
departs 8:15 AM CT · arrives 10:08 AM CT
Forecast issued Tue 6:00 PM ET · 39h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 19%
Wed 9/30 33%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 16%
Sat 10/3 19%
Sun 10/4 19%
Mon 10/5 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at HSV more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±3 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HSV more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at HSV more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to HSV?
On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.1 in of rain forecast at ORD that day
↑
8am departures from ORD are often late
↑
ORD is prone to delays
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Arrivals into HSV at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.11 in
HSV (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.