Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5017
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
OO 5017 · CMX → ORD
departs 3:06 PM ET · arrives 3:50 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 12:00 AM ET · 39h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 56%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 24%
Sat 10/3 24%
Sun 10/4 26%
Mon 10/5 25%
Tue 10/6 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
45%
chance · ±9 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
45%
Leave 15+ late
51%
Arrive 1h+ late
30%
Cancelled
7%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Leave CMX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
51%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
21%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.5 in of rain forecast at ORD that day
↑
Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 31% of the time recently
↓
Other factors
↓
CMX is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
CMX (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.02 in
ORD (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.48 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.