OO 5031 · LAR → DEN

departs 6:15 PM MT · arrives 7:20 PM MT

Forecast issued Thu 7:00 AM ET · 13h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

54% chance · ±0 pts +21 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
46%
15–30 min late
32%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
17%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 45% of the time recently

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

LAR (origin) Gusts29 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DEN (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5031 · LAR → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?