OO 5042 · HYS → DEN

departs 7:20 PM CT · arrives 7:45 PM MT

Forecast issued Thu 3:00 AM ET · 17h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

41% chance · ±1 pts +10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
7%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ Gusts to 31 kt, cloud base down to 400 ft, 0.6 in of rain forecast at HYS that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ HYS usually runs smoothly

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

HYS (origin) Gusts32 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.91 in

DEN (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5042 · HYS → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?