OO 5045 · IAH → PAH

departs 5:06 PM CT · arrives 7:05 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 9:00 PM ET · 21h before departure

Arrive at PAH more than 15 minutes late?

44% chance · ±5 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PAH?

On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH

↑ 5pm departures from IAH are often late

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PAH

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.12 in

PAH (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling10,333 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5045 · IAH → PAH

Odds over time

How late will it get to PAH?