OO 5073 · VCT → IAH

departs 5:27 PM CT · arrives 6:23 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 11:00 AM ET · 8h before departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

58% chance · ±0 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to IAH?

On time or early
41%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
28%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
16%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 31 kt, visibility down to 1 mi, 1.0 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at VCT that day

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH

↑ Arrivals into IAH at that hour are often late

↓ VCT usually runs smoothly

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

VCT (origin) Gusts31 kt Ceiling2,600 ft Visibility1 mi Precip0.99 in

IAH (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.17 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5073 · VCT → IAH

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAH?