Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5106
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
OO 5106 · SLN → ORD
departs 9:29 AM CT · arrives 11:34 AM CT
Forecast issued Wed 2:00 AM ET · 32h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 56%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 16%
Sat 10/3 16%
Sun 10/4 18%
Mon 10/5 17%
Tue 10/6 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±5 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
24%
Arrive 1h+ late
18%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave SLN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
13%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.5 in of rain forecast at ORD that day
↑
Gusts to 25 kt, cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at SLN that day
↑
ORD is busy at that time
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
SLN (origin)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 0.94 in
ORD (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.48 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.