Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5116
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
OO 5116 · RKS → DEN
departs 2:16 PM MT · arrives 3:40 PM MT
Forecast issued Wed 4:00 AM ET · 36h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 37%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 15%
Sat 10/3 16%
Sun 10/4 18%
Mon 10/5 18%
Tue 10/6 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±1 pts
−6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
18%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave RKS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Arrive at DEN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DEN?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late
↑
DEN is busy at that time
↑
This flight has been late 28% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at RKS
↓
DEN usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
RKS (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
DEN (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.03 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.