OO 5128 · IAH → MGM

departs 10:42 AM CT · arrives 12:42 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 12:00 AM ET · 12h before departure

Arrive at MGM more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MGM?

On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
16%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 29% of the time recently

↑ 10am departures from IAH are often late

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ MGM usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.12 in

MGM (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5128 · IAH → MGM

Odds over time

How late will it get to MGM?