OO 519 · ORD → CAK

departs 10:36 AM CT · arrives 1:05 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 4:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at CAK more than 15 minutes late?

34% chance · ±1 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to CAK?

On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at ORD that day

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ 10am departures from ORD are often late

↓ CAK usually runs smoothly

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling1,000 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.93 in

CAK (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 519 · ORD → CAK

Odds over time

How late will it get to CAK?