Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5215
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
OO 5215 · ORD → LNK
departs 8:59 AM CT · arrives 11:01 AM CT
Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 36h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 35%
Wed 9/30 46%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 22%
Sat 10/3 22%
Sun 10/4 25%
Mon 10/5 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at LNK more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±2 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
19%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LNK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at LNK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to LNK?
On time or early
59%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.5 in of rain forecast at ORD that day
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, 1.3 in of rain forecast at LNK that day
↑
This flight has been late 24% of the time recently
↓
Other factors
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.48 in
LNK (destination)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 1.30 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.