Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5256
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
OO 5256 · SBA → SFO
departs 4:03 PM PT · arrives 5:29 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 9:00 AM ET · 34h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 18%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 20%
Sat 10/3 20%
Sun 10/4 25%
Mon 10/5 24%
Tue 10/6 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
36%
chance · ±4 pts
+12 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
36%
Leave 15+ late
33%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Leave SBA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Arrive at SFO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SFO?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 25% of the time recently
↑
SFO is prone to delays
↓
Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at SFO that day
↓
Cloud base down to 300 ft forecast at SBA that day
Weather at each end
SBA (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip none
SFO (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.