OO 5262 · ORD → MKE

departs 4:45 PM CT · arrives 5:35 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 6:00 AM ET · 12h before departure

Arrive at MKE more than 15 minutes late?

78% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MKE?

On time or early
20%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
30%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
9%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at ORD that day

↑ 4pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.6 in of rain forecast at MKE that day

↓ MKE usually runs smoothly

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1 mi Precip0.88 in

MKE (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2 mi Precip1.62 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5262 · ORD → MKE

Odds over time

How late will it get to MKE?