OO 5274 · IAH → SGF

departs 4:49 PM CT · arrives 6:40 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 12:00 AM ET · 18h before departure

Arrive at SGF more than 15 minutes late?

52% chance · ±6 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SGF?

On time or early
47%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
11%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH

↑ 0.9 in of rain forecast at SGF that day

↑ 4pm departures from IAH are often late

↓ SGF usually runs smoothly

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.12 in

SGF (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling4,267 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.89 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5274 · IAH → SGF

Odds over time

How late will it get to SGF?