Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5279
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
OO 5279 · ORD → ASE
departs 8:52 AM CT · arrives 11:01 AM MT
Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 38h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 25%
Wed 9/30 34%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 20%
Sat 10/3 22%
Sun 10/4 19%
Mon 10/5 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at ASE more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±1 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
24%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ASE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Arrive at ASE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to ASE?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.1 in of rain forecast at ORD that day
↑
This flight has been late 32% of the time recently
↑
8am departures from ORD are often late
↓
Other factors
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.11 in
ASE (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.