Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5289
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
OO 5289 · AVL → ORD
departs 5:38 PM ET · arrives 7:00 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 4h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/1
Today 40%
Mon 10/5 27%
Fri 10/9 29%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
73%
chance · ±0 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
73%
Leave 15+ late
52%
Arrive 1h+ late
43%
Cancelled
11%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 73% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
73%
Yes 73%
No 27%
Leave AVL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 52% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
52%
Yes 52%
No 48%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 43% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
43%
Yes 43%
No 57%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
24%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
22%
1–2 hours late
16%
Over 2 hours late
22%
Cancelled
11%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 800 ft, 0.8 in of rain forecast at ORD that day
↑
Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Other factors
↓
Cloud base down to 200 ft forecast at AVL that day
Weather at each end
AVL (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
ORD (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.48 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.