Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5296
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
OO 5296 · ORD → SGF
departs 4:00 PM CT · arrives 5:53 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 1:00 AM ET · 40h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 58%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 26%
Sat 10/3 26%
Sun 10/4 29%
Mon 10/5 24%
Tue 10/6 30%
Odds over time
Arrive at SGF more than 15 minutes late?
58%
chance · ±12 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
58%
Leave 15+ late
50%
Arrive 1h+ late
41%
Cancelled
7%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SGF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
58%
Yes 58%
No 42%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Arrive at SGF more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to SGF?
On time or early
39%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
27%
Over 2 hours late
11%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.5 in of rain forecast at ORD that day
↑
4pm departures from ORD are often late
↑
0.7 in of rain forecast at SGF that day
↓
Other factors
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.48 in
SGF (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 8.33333 mi Precip 0.65 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.