Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5300
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
OO 5300 · IAH → TVC
departs 11:55 AM CT · arrives 4:03 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 5:00 PM ET · 4h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 31%
Sun 10/4 30%
Mon 10/5 27%
Wed 10/7 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at TVC more than 15 minutes late?
55%
chance · ±3 pts
+10 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
55%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TVC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 54% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
55%
Yes 55%
No 45%
Leave IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 42% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at TVC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to TVC?
On time or early
44%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
20%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2.5 mi forecast at TVC that day
↑
This flight has been late 28% of the time recently
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
IAH (origin)
Gusts 21 kt
Ceiling 2,500 ft
Visibility 7 mi
Precip 0.11 in
TVC (destination)
Gusts 11 kt
Ceiling 300 ft
Visibility 2 mi
Precip 0.30 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.