OO 5305 · MCI → IAH

departs 3:24 PM CT · arrives 5:36 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 1:00 AM ET · 15h before departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

54% chance · ±5 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to IAH?

On time or early
45%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
21%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,100 ft, 1.8 in of rain forecast at MCI that day

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH

↑ Arrivals into IAH at that hour are often late

↓ MCI usually runs smoothly

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MCI (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility3 mi Precip1.22 in

IAH (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility9.66667 mi Precip0.12 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5305 · MCI → IAH

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAH?