OO 5316 · RNO → DEN

departs 4:04 PM PT · arrives 7:49 PM MT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

24% chance · ±1 pts −14 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at RNO

Weather at each end

RNO (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DEN (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5316 · RNO → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?