OO 5327 · MFE → IAH

departs 2:15 PM CT · arrives 3:40 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 9:00 PM ET · 18h before departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to IAH?

On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
13%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at MFE

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↓ MFE usually runs smoothly

↓ 2pm departures from MFE are usually not late

Weather at each end

MFE (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.35 in

IAH (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.12 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5327 · MFE → IAH

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAH?