OO 5366 · IAH → SHV

departs 6:26 PM CT · arrives 7:36 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at SHV more than 15 minutes late?

41% chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to SHV?

On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Thunderstorms forecast at IAH that day

↑ 6pm departures from IAH are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ SHV usually runs smoothly

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling2,500 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.05 in

SHV (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling2,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5366 · IAH → SHV

Odds over time

How late will it get to SHV?