Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5368
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
OO 5368 · IAH → MFE
departs 4:30 PM CT · arrives 5:53 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 7:00 AM ET · 10h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 28%
Sun 10/4 18%
Mon 10/5 17%
Tue 10/6 13%
Wed 10/7 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at MFE more than 15 minutes late?
64%
chance · ±0 pts
+18 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
64%
Leave 15+ late
58%
Arrive 1h+ late
38%
Cancelled
7%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.9d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MFE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +18 pts in 24h
+18 pts
64%
Yes 64%
No 36%
Leave IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +21 pts in 24h
+21 pts
58%
Yes 58%
No 42%
Arrive at MFE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +17 pts in 24h
+17 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to MFE?
On time or early
33%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
27%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.3 in of rain forecast at IAH that day
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at MFE
↑
4pm departures from IAH are often late
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
MFE usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
IAH (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.30 in
MFE (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 1,900 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.22 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.