Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5380
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
OO 5380 · MSN → DEN
departs 5:49 PM CT · arrives 7:40 PM MT
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 21h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 42%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 18%
Sun 10/4 15%
Mon 10/5 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
31%
chance · ±3 pts
+9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
31%
Leave 15+ late
37%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.8d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Leave MSN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Arrive at DEN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DEN?
On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.6 in of rain forecast at MSN that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
MSN usually runs smoothly
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
MSN (origin)
Gusts 15 kt
Ceiling 300 ft
Visibility 1 mi
Precip 2.07 in
DEN (destination)
Gusts 23 kt
Ceiling 9,000 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.06 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.