OO 5397 · SAT → DEN

departs 5:34 AM CT · arrives 7:12 AM MT

Forecast issued Wed 7:00 PM ET · 12h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

13% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 2.1 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at SAT that day

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 28% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 5am departures from SAT are usually not late

Weather at each end

SAT (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility9.33333 mi Precip2.09 in

DEN (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5397 · SAT → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?