Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5404
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
OO 5404 · SGF → DEN
departs 5:01 PM CT · arrives 6:25 PM MT
Forecast issued Wed 6:00 AM ET · 36h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 58%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 26%
Sat 10/3 32%
Sun 10/4 26%
Mon 10/5 28%
Tue 10/6 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±11 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
17%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave SGF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at DEN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to DEN?
On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.7 in of rain forecast at SGF that day
↑
Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 32% of the time recently
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
SGF (origin)
Gusts 18 kt
Ceiling 3,500 ft
Visibility 8.33333 mi
Precip 0.73 in
DEN (destination)
Gusts 22 kt
Ceiling 9,000 ft
Visibility 9 mi
Precip 0.03 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.