OO 5425 · LAX → PHX

departs 1:21 PM PT · arrives 2:58 PM MT

Forecast issued Thu 9:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to PHX?

On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 1pm departures from LAX are often late

↑ PHX is prone to delays

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX

↓ This flight has been late 12% of the time recently

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling1,000 ft Visibility6 mi Precipnone

PHX (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5425 · LAX → PHX

Odds over time

How late will it get to PHX?