OO 543 · DEN → RAP

departs 3:50 PM MT · arrives 5:10 PM MT

Forecast issued Thu 2:00 AM ET · 16h before departure

Arrive at RAP more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to RAP?

On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 3pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ RAP usually runs smoothly

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

RAP (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 543 · DEN → RAP

Odds over time

How late will it get to RAP?