Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5469
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
OO 5469 · TVC → ORD
departs 6:29 PM ET · arrives 7:00 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 4h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 27%
Sat 10/3 22%
Sun 10/4 35%
Mon 10/5 32%
Tue 10/6 38%
Wed 10/7 32%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
78%
chance · ±0 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
78%
Leave 15+ late
55%
Arrive 1h+ late
33%
Cancelled
18%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 78% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
78%
Yes 78%
No 22%
Leave TVC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 54% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
55%
Yes 55%
No 45%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
18%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
22%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
19%
Cancelled
18%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 1,000 ft, 0.7 in of rain forecast at ORD that day
↑
ORD is busy at that time
↓
TVC is quiet at that time
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
TVC (origin)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.28 in
ORD (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.48 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.