OO 5480 · ORD → CLE

departs 9:08 AM CT · arrives 11:38 AM ET

Forecast issued Thu 3:00 AM ET · 7h before departure

Arrive at CLE more than 15 minutes late?

35% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CLE?

On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at ORD that day

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ 9am departures from ORD are often late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into CLE at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.90 in

CLE (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5480 · ORD → CLE

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLE?