Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5484
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
OO 5484 · MSO → DEN
departs 10:36 AM MT · arrives 12:48 PM MT
Forecast issued Wed 9:00 AM ET · 28h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 21%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 11%
Sat 10/3 13%
Sun 10/4 13%
Mon 10/5 11%
Tue 10/6 11%
Odds over time
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
11%
chance · ±2 pts
−7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
11%
Leave 15+ late
12%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Leave MSO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Arrive at DEN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DEN?
On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
DEN is busy at that time
↑
Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↓
10am departures from MSO are usually not late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MSO
Weather at each end
MSO (origin)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
DEN (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.