Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5501
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
OO 5501 · LIT → ORD
departs 7:20 AM CT · arrives 9:35 AM CT
Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 36h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 22%
Wed 9/30 41%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 17%
Sat 10/3 15%
Sun 10/4 20%
Mon 10/5 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
23%
chance · ±6 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
23%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Leave LIT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.1 in of rain forecast at ORD that day
↑
Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 19% of the time recently
↓
Other factors
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LIT
Weather at each end
LIT (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 9,667 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
ORD (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.11 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.