OO 5501 · MKE → DEN

departs 10:39 AM CT · arrives 12:21 PM MT

Forecast issued Thu 5:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±2 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.6 in of rain forecast at MKE that day

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 21% of the time recently

↓ MKE usually runs smoothly

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

Weather at each end

MKE (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precip0.85 in

DEN (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5501 · MKE → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?