Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5504
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
OO 5504 · ORD → TVC
departs 2:05 PM CT · arrives 4:31 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 6:00 AM ET · 33h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 64%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 30%
Sat 10/3 32%
Sun 10/4 29%
Mon 10/5 28%
Tue 10/6 29%
Odds over time
Arrive at TVC more than 15 minutes late?
58%
chance · ±4 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
58%
Leave 15+ late
51%
Arrive 1h+ late
28%
Cancelled
7%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TVC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
58%
Yes 58%
No 42%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Arrive at TVC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to TVC?
On time or early
39%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
18%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.2 in of rain forecast at ORD that day
↑
2pm departures from ORD are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at TVC that day
↓
Other factors
↓
TVC usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.23 in
TVC (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.26 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.